Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
