Sutton United will be looking to quickly bounce back to winning ways after their slender defeat against Walsall on Saturday. However, they go up against a solid Swindon Town side who have won three of their last four home games. With just one point between the sides in the table, we expect a cagey affair on Tuesday with the spoils being shared at the sound of the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
