Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
