You cannot question the desire or work ethic of Harrogate Town, but unfortunately, it will take more than that to slow down a team with the depth of Swindon, who can count on a variety of attacking threats.
Sulphirites have conceded the second-most goals in the league this season (65), which does not bode well when you face a side like the Robins, who have scored the third-most (62).
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
