You cannot question the desire or work ethic of Harrogate Town, but unfortunately, it will take more than that to slow down a team with the depth of Swindon, who can count on a variety of attacking threats. Sulphirites have conceded the second-most goals in the league this season (65), which does not bode well when you face a side like the Robins, who have scored the third-most (62). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Swindon Town
33.53%	25.82%	40.65%

Both teams to score 54.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25%

49.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25%

71.75%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07%

63.93%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81%

24.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48%

58.52%

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 33.53%

Swindon Town 40.65%

Draw 25.81%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.65%