Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
