Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.
0.07) 
-0.04) 
