Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
38.97%	27.63%	33.4%

Both teams to score 48.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.91%

57.08% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03%

77.96% (

-0)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

-0)

28.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72%

64.28% (

-0)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57%

68.42% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 38.96%

Crewe Alexandra 33.4%

Draw 27.63%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.96%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.4%