SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Crewe Alexandra | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Swindon Town | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 8 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Crawley Town | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 21 | Colchester United | 8 | -5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
36.09% ( -0.49) | 25.76% ( 0.07) | 38.14% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.85% ( -0.31) | 49.15% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( -0.28) | 71.22% ( 0.28) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.42) | 26.39% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( -0.57) | 61.55% ( 0.57) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( 0.09) | 25.24% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( 0.13) | 60% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.14% |
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