Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
