Possessing one of the best away records in the division, Exeter will back themselves to earn at least a point on Friday. However, we cannot ignore Mansfield's own form on familiar territory, leading us to predict a narrow and crucial win in the promotion race.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
