Possessing one of the best away records in the division, Exeter will back themselves to earn at least a point on Friday. However, we cannot ignore Mansfield's own form on familiar territory, leading us to predict a narrow and crucial win in the promotion race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Exeter City
42.65%	25.8%	31.54%

Both teams to score 53.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73%

50.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78%

72.22%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58%

23.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59%

57.41%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15%

65.85%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 42.65%

Exeter City 31.54%

Draw 25.8%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.65%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.54%