Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
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