Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.