Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.04) 
