SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
51.56% ( 0.03) | 23.67% ( -0.01) | 24.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.06) | 45.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.05) | 67.61% ( -0.06) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( 0.03) | 17.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% ( 0.06) | 48.14% ( -0.06) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( 0.02) | 32.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( 0.02) | 68.71% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.56% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.77% |
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