SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
58.96% ( 0.7) | 22.75% ( -0.13) | 18.29% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( -0.29) | 49.06% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( -0.26) | 71.13% ( 0.26) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 0.14) | 16.3% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% ( 0.25) | 45.87% ( -0.25) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.28% ( -0.82) | 40.72% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.75) | 77.3% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.96% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.29% |
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