SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Real Madrid |
60.82% ( 0.83) | 19.72% ( -0.3) | 19.47% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 62.27% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.62) | 33.43% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( 0.71) | 55.21% ( -0.71) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( 0.4) | 10.72% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.34% ( 0.89) | 34.66% ( -0.89) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.13) | 30.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.57% ( -0.16) | 66.42% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 60.82% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 19.47% |
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