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Champions League | Final
Jun 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Wembley Stadium
RM

Dortmund
vs.
Real Madrid

 

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Real Madrid

By conquering the group of death, completing a remarkable turnaround versus Atletico and keeping PSG at bay over two legs, not a soul can question Dortmund's place in the showpiece event, but Terzic and co will be under no illusions that they were fortunate to benefit from Parisien profligacy in the semis. Real's path to Wembley has not been smooth-sailing by any means either, but whether it is the Blancos players thriving under the weight of expectation, the rousing chants of their fans or just the power of the Ancelotti eyebrow, the 14-time champions just get it done. On Saturday, we expect no different. Last year's final between Man City and Inter Milan was settled by a solitary goal, and Champions League lightning could strike twice in London, as Real Madrid reclaim their status as Europe's top dogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 26.65% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.41%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.72%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawReal Madrid
26.65% (-0.101 -0.1) 21.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 52.33% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 67.39% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.03% (0.124 0.12)30.97% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.65% (0.147 0.15)52.35% (-0.148 -0.15)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.05% (0.17599999999999 0.18)37.95% (-0.177 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 26.65%
    Real Madrid 52.33%
    Draw 21.02%
Borussia DortmundDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.41% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 52.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Betis
Saturday, May 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-0 Alaves
Tuesday, May 14 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, May 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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