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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
51.81% ( 0.15) | 19.44% ( -0.04) | 28.74% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 75.52% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.11) | 21.39% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.15) | 40.04% ( -0.15) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.88% ( 0.07) | 9.12% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.04% ( 0.17) | 30.95% ( -0.17) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( 0) | 16.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.05% ( 0) | 46.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)5-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.81% | 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.05% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 28.74% |
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