Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.36%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 21.7% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
59.36% ( -0.42) | 18.95% ( 0.06) | 21.7% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 69.19% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.77% ( 0.17) | 26.22% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.5% ( 0.22) | 46.5% ( -0.22) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.07% ( -0.04) | 8.93% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.49% ( -0.1) | 30.51% ( 0.1) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( 0.38) | 24.02% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.53) | 58.28% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.62% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 21.7% |
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