Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
