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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
33.66% ( 0.25) | 23.69% ( -0.06) | 42.65% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.02% ( 0.35) | 39.98% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.66% ( 0.36) | 62.34% ( -0.37) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.31) | 23.48% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 0.45) | 57.5% ( -0.45) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( 0.06) | 19.06% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( 0.1) | 50.66% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 42.65% |
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