Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.