Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.