SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
39.58% ( -0.01) | 24.86% ( -0) | 35.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( 0.01) | 45.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( 0.01) | 67.49% ( -0.01) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( 0) | 22.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0) | 56.35% ( 0) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( 0.01) | 24.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( 0.02) | 59.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.56% |
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