SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Rostov | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Khimki | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Khimki | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | -3 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
34.61% ( 0.05) | 28.1% ( -0.02) | 37.29% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.32% ( 0.08) | 58.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.78% ( 0.06) | 79.22% ( -0.06) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( 0.08) | 31.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( 0.09) | 68.43% ( -0.08) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( 0.02) | 30.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( 0.03) | 66.45% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.28% |
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