Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
