SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Orenburg |
45.57% ( -0.09) | 24.97% ( 0.03) | 29.46% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( -0.1) | 47.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( -0.09) | 69.82% ( 0.09) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.08) | 20.94% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.12) | 53.68% ( 0.12) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.01) | 29.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( -0.02) | 65.97% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
