Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nizhny Novgorod would win this match.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
39.95% ( 0.06)	27.57%	32.48% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-0.01)

57.03% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-0.01)

77.92% (

0.01)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

0.03)

27.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

0.04)

63.54% (

-0.04)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

-0.05)

32.57% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-0.06)

69.1% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 39.95%

Akhmat Grozny 32.48%

Draw 27.57%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.95%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.48%