SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
38.52% ( -0.03) | 27.13% ( 0.01) | 34.35% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.98% ( -0.04) | 55.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% ( -0.03) | 76.29% ( 0.03) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.03) | 27.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( -0.04) | 63.35% ( 0.04) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.01) | 30.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( -0.01) | 66.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.34% |
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