SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
50.67% ( -0.18) | 24.61% ( 0.15) | 24.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.68% ( -0.6) | 49.32% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( -0.55) | 71.37% ( 0.55) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.31) | 19.47% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( -0.51) | 51.33% ( 0.51) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( -0.3) | 34.46% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( -0.32) | 71.17% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.72% |
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