SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
33.98% ( 0.05) | 27.13% ( 0.03) | 38.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% ( -0.1) | 55.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% ( -0.08) | 76.33% ( 0.09) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( -0.02) | 30.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( -0.02) | 66.8% ( 0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( -0.09) | 27.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.12) | 63.11% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.88% |
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