SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
40.72% ( -0.89) | 27.1% ( 0.24) | 32.18% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( -0.75) | 55.29% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( -0.62) | 76.51% ( 0.62) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.82) | 26.67% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( -1.1) | 61.92% ( 1.1) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( 0.07) | 31.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( 0.08) | 68.33% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.18% |
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