SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
33.59% ( -0.24) | 25.09% ( 0.3) | 41.32% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -1.42) | 46.57% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( -1.35) | 68.84% ( 1.35) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.83) | 26.65% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -1.11) | 61.89% ( 1.11) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( -0.64) | 22.46% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( -0.97) | 56% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.32% |
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