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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 at 12pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
2 - 0
Nizhny Novgorod

Prutsev (41'), Martins Pereira (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotsuk (82'), Troshechkin (90+2'), Kakkoev (90+2')
Gotsuk (90+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawNizhny Novgorod
62.87% (0.29 0.29) 20.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 16.57% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.24% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (-0.262 -0.26)42.49% (0.261 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (-0.262 -0.26)64.89% (0.261 0.26)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)39.34% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.13% (-0.459 -0.46)38.86% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.4% (-0.437 -0.44)75.59% (0.43599999999999 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 62.86%
    Nizhny Novgorod 16.57%
    Draw 20.56%
Spartak MoscowDrawNizhny Novgorod
2-0 @ 10.51% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 62.86%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.56%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 4-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, September 23 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Sochi
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 0-0 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, September 30 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 Orenburg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, September 2 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Rostov
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Russian Premier League


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