Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
Result | ||
Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
62.87% ( 0.29) | 20.56% ( -0.04) | 16.57% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.24% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.51% ( -0.26) | 42.49% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% ( -0.26) | 64.89% ( 0.26) |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.09% ( -0) | 12.91% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.66% ( 0) | 39.34% ( -0.01) |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.13% ( -0.46) | 38.86% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 62.86% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.56% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.57% |
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