SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
37.9% ( -2.02) | 24.59% ( 0.58) | 37.5% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( -2.69) | 43.71% ( 2.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -2.69) | 66.1% ( 2.69) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -2.17) | 22.9% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -3.31) | 56.66% ( 3.31) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.47) | 23.11% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( -0.69) | 56.97% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.6)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.78)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.5% |
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