SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
45.17% ( 1.28) | 24.48% ( -0.09) | 30.34% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( -0.14) | 45.01% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.13) | 67.36% ( 0.13) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.5) | 20.04% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( 0.8) | 52.26% ( -0.8) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.84) | 27.95% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( -1.09) | 63.58% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.34% |
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