SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
40.74% ( -0.03) | 25.61% ( 0.01) | 33.65% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( -0.02) | 48.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( -0.02) | 70.92% ( 0.02) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( -0.04) | 57.86% ( 0.04) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0) | 27.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( 0) | 63.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.65% |
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