SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
55.55% ( -0.28) | 21.03% ( 0.11) | 23.42% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.58% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.62% ( -0.32) | 34.38% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.7% ( -0.37) | 56.3% ( 0.37) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.55% ( -0.19) | 12.45% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.61% ( -0.39) | 38.39% ( 0.4) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.04) | 27.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.06) | 62.84% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 23.42% |
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