SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Sepahan win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Sepahan |
61.92% ( -1.03) | 19.94% ( 0.44) | 18.13% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( -1.03) | 36.77% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.06% ( -1.13) | 58.94% ( 1.13) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.57% ( -0.57) | 11.43% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.77% ( -1.26) | 36.22% ( 1.26) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.02) | 33.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( 0.02) | 70.25% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Sepahan |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.53% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.94% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.13% |
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