SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
38.93% ( -0.11) | 24.61% ( -0.05) | 36.46% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0.27) | 43.86% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( 0.26) | 66.25% ( -0.26) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.07) | 22.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.1) | 55.99% ( -0.09) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( 0.21) | 23.74% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.13% ( 0.3) | 57.88% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.46% |
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