Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
41.21% ( 1.77)	24.86% ( 0.63)	33.94% ( -2.4)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

-2.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.59% (

-3.37)

45.41% (

3.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26% (

-3.3)

67.75% (

3.3)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

-0.61)

22.01% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

-0.93)

55.33% (

0.93)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

-2.92)

25.89% (

2.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.13% (

-4.11)

60.87% (

4.11)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 41.21%

Kyoto Sanga 33.94%

Draw 24.85%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 1.05) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.21%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.78) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.94%