SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
27.28% ( -6.18) | 23.4% ( -1.43) | 49.32% ( 7.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( 3.44) | 41.96% ( -3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( 3.37) | 64.36% ( -3.37) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( -2.36) | 28.53% ( 2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( -3.06) | 64.31% ( 3.06) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 4.6) | 17.17% ( -4.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% ( 7.53) | 47.43% ( -7.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -1.02) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -1.49)2-0 @ 3.85% ( -1.27)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.65)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.68)Other @ 3.54% Total : 27.28% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.82) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.8)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.66) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.98)1-3 @ 5.6% ( 1.09)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 1.1)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.49)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.75)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.68)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.39)Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.32% |
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