Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
54.58% ( 0.09) | 23.7% ( -0.11) | 21.72% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.44% ( 0.47) | 48.56% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% ( 0.43) | 70.68% ( -0.42) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( 0.2) | 17.68% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% ( 0.35) | 48.31% ( -0.35) |
King's Lynn Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% ( 0.29) | 36.78% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( 0.28) | 73.57% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 54.57% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.69% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.72% |
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