SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
30.04% ( 0.09) | 25.98% ( 0.03) | 43.99% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.07) | 51.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( -0.06) | 73.36% ( 0.07) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.03) | 31.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% ( 0.04) | 67.87% ( -0.03) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.09) | 23.34% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( -0.13) | 57.29% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 43.99% |
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