SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
38.7% ( -1.24) | 27.51% ( 0.42) | 33.79% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( -1.49) | 56.58% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( -1.21) | 77.55% ( 1.21) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -1.4) | 28.41% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( -1.8) | 64.17% ( 1.8) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( -0.21) | 31.45% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( -0.24) | 67.83% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.78% |
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