Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 91.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 1.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.62%) and 4-0 (13.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.52%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Algeria | Draw | Bolivia |
91.21% ( -0.04) | 7.17% ( 0.03) | 1.62% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 22.83% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.97% ( -0.08) | 35.03% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.97% ( -0.09) | 57.02% ( 0.09) |
Algeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.37% ( -0.02) | 4.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.14% ( -0.06) | 18.86% ( 0.06) |
Bolivia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
23.94% ( 0.04) | 76.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
3.13% ( 0.01) | 96.87% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Algeria | Draw | Bolivia |
3-0 @ 17.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 16.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 91.19% | 0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 7.17% | 0-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 1.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: