SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 3.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.44%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Bolivia |
86.43% ( 1.33) | 10.08% ( -0.88) | 3.49% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 33.22% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( 1.75) | 36.36% ( -1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( 1.89) | 58.49% ( -1.89) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.18% ( 0.61) | 5.82% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.63% ( 1.71) | 22.36% ( -1.71) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.27% ( -0.95) | 64.73% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.11% ( -0.42) | 92.88% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 15.23% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.32)1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.54)4-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.57)2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.34)5-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)7-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 86.42% | 1-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.21% Total : 10.08% | 0-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.84% Total : 3.49% |
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