Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Batalla (8')
Meza (22'), Franco (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result |
| Alianza Petrolera | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
29.48% ( -0.09) | 26.87% ( 0.01) | 43.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.09) |
| 44.68% ( -0.08) | 55.31% ( 0.08) |
| 23.47% ( -0.07) | 76.53% ( 0.07) |
| 66.16% ( -0.11) | 33.84% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.12) | 70.5% ( 0.12) |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| 74.84% ( -0) | 25.15% ( 0) |
