Given Venlo's poor form away from home, Almere are huge favourites to come out on top in this one. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively comfortable victory and book a place in the playoff final at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%).

Result
Almere City	Draw	VVV-Venlo
51.35% ( 0.91)	23.88% ( 0.07)	24.77% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 55.15% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.79% (

-1.16)

46.21% (

1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

-1.11)

68.5% (

1.11)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

-0.09)

18.01% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12% (

-0.16)

48.88% (

0.16)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

-1.43)

32.73% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

-1.62)

69.29% (

1.62)

Score Analysis

Almere City 51.35%

VVV-Venlo 24.77%

Draw 23.88%

Almere City	Draw	VVV-Venlo
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.35%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.77%