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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36
May 7, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
NB

Almere City
0 - 2
NAC Breda


Hilterman (68'), Pena (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Agougil (30'), Mar Omarsson (35')
van der Sande (49'), Hyballa (50'), Mar Omarsson (51'), Omgba (71'), Kortsmit (75')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 0-5 Almere City
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-2 Roda JC
Saturday, April 29 at 5.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawNAC Breda
53.21% (0.565 0.56) 22.34% (-0.186 -0.19) 24.45% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (0.497 0.5)39.54% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.515 0.52)61.89% (-0.515 -0.52)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.364 0.36)14.92% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.69% (0.687 0.69)43.31% (-0.686 -0.69)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)29.39% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 53.21%
    NAC Breda 24.45%
    Draw 22.33%
Almere CityDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 24.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oss 0-5 Almere City
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Almere City
Sunday, April 16 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Jong AZ
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Jong Utrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Almere City
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-2 Roda JC
Saturday, April 29 at 5.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Willem II
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-2 NAC Breda
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-0 Den Bosch
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-3 NAC Breda
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 NAC Breda
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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