Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | NAC Breda |
53.21% ( 0.56) | 22.34% ( -0.19) | 24.45% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.46% ( 0.5) | 39.54% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.11% ( 0.52) | 61.89% ( -0.52) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.07% ( 0.36) | 14.92% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.69% ( 0.69) | 43.31% ( -0.69) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.03) | 29.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( -0.04) | 65.38% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 24.45% |
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